Ancient-Ostrich
0x56af8dc39e67f96359fee1bff2047505d93d99ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-460.33
Realised
$40.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
1548 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
840 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-118.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
528 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-53.07
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
483 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.45
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
471 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
318 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-94.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
276 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-43.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
137 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-19.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
127 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-27.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
49 shares @ 61.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$20.40May 8, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.14May 8, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$25.68May 8, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$29.51Apr 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$43.68Mar 20, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$44.37Mar 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$24.69Mar 20, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$50.63Mar 19, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$118.75Mar 17, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$120.34Mar 17, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$80.26Mar 17, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$54.93Mar 17, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$25.33Mar 17, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$56.19Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$56.19Mar 17, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$41.90Mar 17, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$30.39Mar 17, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$54.76Mar 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$17.54Mar 17, 12:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $46.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 15, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".