Scary-Charset
0x56b0eb9ccbe4ce0f5450788426a921507dc64b95
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.71
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-659.11
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$13.71
$0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
1302 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-335.63
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 18?
1180 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-311.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 11?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on February 3?
930 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 11?
880 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 12?
190 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$13.70Aug 6, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13.71Aug 6, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13.70Jul 29, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$103.21Jun 21, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$103.01Jun 6, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?$3.46Jun 6, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 26?$106.11Jun 6, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 26?$106.01May 25, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$106.11May 25, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$106.01May 21, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 15?$106.11May 21, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 15?$106.01May 15, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?$106.11May 15, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?$106.01May 9, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$106.11May 9, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$106.01May 6, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$106.11May 6, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$106.01Apr 30, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?$106.10Apr 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?$106.00Apr 25, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $82.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.