Formal-Encyclopedia
0x56b25a4caace3f34a0a24cb471234b396f46b455
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$1.49
Total PnL
$-403.99
Realised
$12.52
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
90 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.49
$0.48
- NO
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?
1012 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-05?
753 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- YES
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-02-26?
309 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.02
- YES
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?
270 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
237 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.03May 24, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?$1.03May 20, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry$3.05May 20, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?$1.03May 20, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00May 20, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.20May 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.07May 19, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$3.13May 19, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.18May 19, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.91May 19, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.16May 19, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$9.39May 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.19May 19, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00May 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$3.11May 19, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.06May 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.06May 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Brown be traded?$4.60May 19, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00May 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$8.59May 19, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".