Flustered-Birdwatcher
0x56be0be7314b5df5e211bfb67ecbd89751ab1937
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$116.34
Total PnL
$0.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$17.27
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 8?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$12.21
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 8?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$11.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?
11 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$10.89
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$10.34
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 9?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 8?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$9.81
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 9?
9 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$8.59
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?
7 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$7.26
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 8?
7 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$6.61
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 9?$5.74Apr 9, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 9?$10.87Apr 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 9?$3.20Apr 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?$7.18Apr 9, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 9?$8.55Apr 9, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 9?$10.00Apr 9, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?$10.28Apr 9, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?$17.25Apr 9, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 8?$6.60Apr 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 8?$11.00Apr 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 8?$12.20Apr 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 8?$9.80Apr 9, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 8?$3.00Apr 9, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 in March?$7.26Apr 9, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?$7.34Apr 9, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$7.42Apr 9, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$9.70Apr 9, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.23Apr 9, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$10.28Apr 9, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$15.03Apr 9, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $23.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".