Defiant-Urn
0x56c244e71e80d76e49f1080a1254e62a608e1495
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-350.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 16?
280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 10?
277 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 25?
276 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.87
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 14?
275 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 2?
275 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 11?
274 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $97k November 3-9?
273 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on November 15?
272 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.86
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on November 18?
272 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.83
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 13?
249 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?$1.86Jun 2, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$1.72May 30, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?$2.61May 27, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$103.33May 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 26?$101.16May 26, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?$2.88May 24, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 24?$2.94May 24, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 20?$3.02May 19, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$83.81May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$1.17May 17, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$25.68May 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$24.47May 10, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 9?$2.53May 9, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$32.83May 2, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 2?$0.00Apr 26, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on November 23?$0.00Apr 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$30.86Apr 10, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 6?$2.63Apr 6, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,100 on March 30?$33.74Apr 6, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 18?$0.00Apr 1, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $22.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".