Joyful-Causeway
0x56c260b1d44d3a5c05fd01f12b956231e6816219
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.84
Total PnL
$-147.93
Realised
$38.92
Win rate
100%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?
1687 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.84
$-0.84
- YES
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.50Jun 13, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?$0.07Jun 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Jun 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.91Jun 13, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?$1.00Jun 13, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 13, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?$0.69Jun 13, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.18Jun 13, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?$1.00Jun 13, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$0.20Jun 13, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$0.01Jun 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.10Jun 13, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.90Jun 13, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPresident Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?$1.00Jun 13, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.38Jun 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.62Jun 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14?$1.00Jun 13, 04:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.