Wide-Wallaby
0x56d75b8bb30373c52cebea3f08f09a579c5b86da
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 13?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
466 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 15?
316 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 15 above $340?
214 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 5?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$13.81Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$13.80Jul 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$98.10Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$98.00Jun 4, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?$60.06May 28, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 26?$38.04May 26, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?$60.00May 26, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$1.47May 25, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 26?$38.00May 25, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$99.40May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$99.03May 22, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$83.08May 20, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$16.02May 20, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$16.00May 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$2.14May 19, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$83.01May 19, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?$101.10May 12, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?$101.00May 9, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?$101.10May 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?$101.01May 6, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $77.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.