Wallet profile

Unlined-Observation

0x56d8d5f6585716a1a900282192dd21a4261e1cce

activity 68/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

68/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

86

Open notional

$153.81

Total PnL

$-51.5K

Realised

$60.62

Win rate

40%

50 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 86

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$34.5K

Trades

2

Buy share

0%

Window

Jun 13, 02:20 UTC → Jul 4, 02:52 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $11.2K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

49/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

40% win rate over 50 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
review

50 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

50 closed markets, 40% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$5.1K

1 trades

30d volume

$16.3K

2 trades

Buy share

0%

Sample

limited

5 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

$12.0K · 35% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?35% of recorded volume$12.0KWill United States win on 2026-06-19?32% of recorded volume$11.2KWill United States win on 2026-06-12?18% of recorded volume$6.2K

Profile dimensions

Activity73 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry22 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk57 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
50
Avg trade size
$596.37
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 9, 17:52 UTC
Last active
Jul 9, 20:22 UTC
Win rate sample
50 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 20:22:29 UTC·src:Polymarket Data