Wallet profile

Cruel-Umbrella

0x56d9f39ee0c1634b09b5d51706aa24ddfd10d58f

activity 43/100

Wallet digest

Activity score

43/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

18

Open notional

$6.02

Total PnL

$-70.78

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 18

Recent activity

  • YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 26, 00:52 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 24, 00:47 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 23, 00:31 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:55 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 21, 00:29 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 20, 00:29 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 18, 00:31 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 16, 00:43 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 15, 00:17 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 14, 00:21 UTC
  • YIELD$0.00Feb 13, 00:51 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
missing

No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.

Resolved-only track record
block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity0 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry17 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
0
Avg trade size
$0.00
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jan 11, 00:15 UTC
Last active
May 11, 00:16 UTC
Win rate sample
0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 00:17:55 UTC·src:Polymarket Data