Knowing-Creditor
0x56dc82e4f301ceee921c78be9d44d49a673c9851
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.13
Total PnL
$-45.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
1840 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-2.68
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
437 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
193 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.60Mar 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.40Mar 19, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.41Mar 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.59Mar 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.42Mar 17, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.58Mar 17, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 16, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Knicks$1.75Sep 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.85Sep 16, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Nuggets$2.63May 16, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Knicks$1.00May 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Knicks$1.00May 15, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Celtics$1.61May 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00May 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00May 14, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $0.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".