Uneven-Regard
0x56e0dc51e788c6534f49b5a52b3da7a17a6adfc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-378.65
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 4?
421 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
181 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
108 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$0.00May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.05May 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.02May 27, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.16May 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.01May 27, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.04May 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.11May 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.00May 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.03May 21, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.04May 21, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.59May 21, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.03May 21, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.07May 21, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.04May 21, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$0.00May 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1.12May 21, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1.04May 21, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.15May 21, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.04May 21, 00:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.