Scarce-Knowhow
0x56e4610ad069714f46aff83de1d0f7a9a928b84e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$5.64
Total PnL
$-23.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?
2 shares @ 62.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.60
$0.60
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP vs. FC Kairat Almaty end in a draw?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Inter win on 2025-10-25?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Manchester City vs. Napoli end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Juventus win on 2025-10-26?$1.69Oct 26, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa win on 2025-10-26?$2.00Oct 26, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?$2.82Oct 26, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win on 2025-10-26?$4.00Oct 25, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win on 2025-10-25?$2.00Oct 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?$2.00Oct 25, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland win on 2025-10-09?$6.40Oct 12, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?$3.33Oct 12, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Napoli win on 2025-10-05?$1.49Oct 9, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?$1.60Oct 9, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna win on 2025-10-05?$3.45Oct 9, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. Croatia end in a draw?$2.00Oct 9, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland vs. Greece end in a draw?$2.00Oct 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2025-10-09?$5.00Oct 9, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win on 2025-10-05?$5.00Oct 4, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli win on 2025-10-05?$1.00Oct 4, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fiorentina vs. AS Roma end in a draw?$1.00Oct 4, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna win on 2025-10-05?$2.00Oct 4, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMGreta Thunberg arrested by September 30?$1.33Oct 4, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille win on 2025-09-25?$1.52Oct 4, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".