Authentic-Dealer-Stucco
0x56e73d0bf2db679e68bb7d37883454ed6a38a35d
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$7.28
Total PnL
$-383.48
Realised
$-17.44
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 26?
428 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$1.71
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or below on July 26?
834 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 26?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 85°F or below on July 26?
29 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.73
$0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 26?
126 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.69
$-0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 26?
1334 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.67
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on July 26?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 26?
401 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.20
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 4?
201 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 26?$0.04Jul 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 26?$0.00Jul 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.45Jul 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 26?$0.81Jul 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.03Jul 25, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.02Jul 25, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.03Jul 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.03Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.03Jul 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.02Jul 25, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.02Jul 25, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.03Jul 25, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 26?$0.00Jul 25, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 26?$0.00Jul 25, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.