Aggressive-Refuge
0x56f3f22043ef54662bc08f4ebc531d4959c21b75
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-368.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
62590 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-62.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
10047 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.86
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 10-16?
3530 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
3433 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-34.33
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 15?
1589 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-99.91
- YES
Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
468 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
96 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$14.86Mar 16, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$14.87Mar 16, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 16, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$62.59Mar 16, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $60 in March?$62.58Mar 16, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$34.33Mar 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?$35.33Mar 16, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?$52.88Mar 15, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 10-16?$100.00Mar 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in March?$100.00Mar 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 15?$100.00Mar 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.75Mar 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$100.00Mar 15, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$7.00Mar 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?$7.57Mar 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?$7.79Mar 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$50.00Mar 13, 10:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $46.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 10:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".