Second-Hand-Waitress-Wetsuit
0x56fa9bdb526b213afe7626760368a943fe7be296
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$10.40
Total PnL
$-260.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$10.40
$-4.20
- YES
Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $10B?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.71
- YES
Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above $1.60B?
27 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.44
- YES
Will Workday Q1 total subscription revenue backlog be above $27.5B?
26 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.24
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 19?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.75
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 5?
25 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-18.25
- YES
FDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?
25 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will Danilo be in Brazil's Starting 11?
24 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.72
- YES
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11?
24 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.48
- YES
Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?
23 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?$2.52Jul 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?$2.49Jul 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$14.60Jul 2, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 1?$6.00Jul 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?$2.46Jul 1, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 30?$19.00Jun 30, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 1?$2.56Jun 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 1?$2.55Jun 30, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 30?$14.06Jun 29, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?$17.00Jun 15, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?$13.94Jun 15, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danilo be in Brazil's Starting 11?$18.20Jun 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danilo be in Brazil's Starting 11?$0.52Jun 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11?$18.61Jun 13, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$23.00Jun 10, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $10B?$19.71Jun 10, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Camurus' Oclaiz?$19.50Jun 9, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?$18.99Jun 8, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?$2.67Jun 7, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?$11.38Jun 7, 21:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $12.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.