Old-Fashioned-Pork
0x5704d918d41f854132d2efac7bb0496b3fc3e96b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.73
Total PnL
$-5.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$-0.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?
76 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.42
$-4.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.02Jul 28, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$1.05Jul 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?$1.05Jul 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?$1.05Jul 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?$1.05Jul 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?$1.05Jul 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.09Jul 28, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.08Jul 28, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.00Jul 23, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?$0.00Jul 22, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$0.00Jul 20, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$0.00Jul 20, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$3.03Jul 19, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$0.00Jul 19, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$0.00Jul 19, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jul 19, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$0.00Jul 19, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$0.00Jul 19, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 04:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.