Hopeful-Bonnet
0x570681ffbb3a5229cc16cfe96d35d7176736514f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$33.57
Total PnL
$-41.53
Realised
$-4.06
Win rate
10%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 68.9¢·now 68.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.44
$-0.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.38
$0.57
- YES
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
43 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.19
$0.02
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.45
$-0.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
5 shares @ 32.3¢·now 26.2¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.31
$-0.30
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.25
$-0.15
- JD GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.23
$-0.02
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.10
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.05
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?$0.87Jun 4, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$0.83Jun 4, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?$0.48Jun 4, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 5?$0.55Jun 4, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$0.99Jun 4, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.94Jun 4, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$1.44Jun 4, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$1.28Jun 4, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCenturion 2: Robert Strombachs vs Philip Henning$0.55Jun 4, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?$1.69Jun 4, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.04Jun 4, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.97Jun 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.03Jun 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$0.97Jun 4, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$0.90Jun 4, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in June?$0.97Jun 4, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$0.93Jun 4, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?$1.19Jun 4, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 4?$0.85Jun 4, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".