0x57077421628e65dba6d0df9db8389886f30486c4
0x57077421628e65dba6d0df9db8389886f30486c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
24/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-74.54
Realised
$-4.54
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
717 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$20.00Aug 20, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$10.85Jul 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$0.91Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$10.85Jul 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$10.86Jul 19, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$10.87Jul 19, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$21.96Jul 12, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $12.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 22:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.