Prime-Centurion
0x57097a9e66dc5bce77e6685812ed50eaea2722c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$5.7K
Total PnL
$-376.54
Realised
$-0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
1850 shares @ 79.4¢·now 91.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$216.24
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
3146 shares @ 47.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$49.19
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
1151 shares @ 53.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$949.33
$335.49
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
1251 shares @ 73.3¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$694.28
$-223.22
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
428 shares @ 43.5¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$316.39
$130.15
- YES
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
1027 shares @ 22.1¢·now 9.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$92.43
$-134.05
- YES
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
556 shares @ 29.5¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.79
$-85.99
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
592 shares @ 26.7¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.15
$-92.84
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
64 shares @ 51.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.73
$12.88
- YES
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$40.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?$1.08Jul 22, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?$0.90Jul 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?$32.15Jul 21, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?$1.65Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?$1.90Jul 20, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?$32.85Jul 16, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?$0.00Jul 15, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$2.59Jul 12, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$7.15Jul 12, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$5.40Jul 12, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$9.54Jul 12, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$5.95Jul 12, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$35.23Jul 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$28.18Jul 9, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?$22.08Jul 3, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?$14.65Jul 3, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 2, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Borova by June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $24.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.