Ordinary-Cholesterol
0x57129c341e97ca8fc655448c17a4db2ba1c0c795
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
79269 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
63006 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
22857 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?
10968 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-498.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.98Mar 2, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$1.00Mar 2, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.98Mar 2, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 2, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.3KSep 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1.2KSep 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$5.0KJun 1, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?$498.87May 8, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 17:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".