Treasured-Measles
0x5714eb48690e90257e6c1faa4cc624648826c680
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.21
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-530.57
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
345 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$-50.55
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
5799 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
3521 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 31?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
253 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Apr 13, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$23.20Mar 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$20.00Mar 24, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$34.99Mar 24, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$51.76Mar 23, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$20.00Mar 23, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$30.00Mar 23, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$998.23Mar 1, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$180.53Feb 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$180.54Feb 28, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$106.13Feb 28, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$106.13Feb 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$207.82Jan 15, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$200.00Jan 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$408.82Jan 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$336.00Jan 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$58.50Jan 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$27.00Jan 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$48.62Jan 12, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $183.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.