Probable-Castle
0x571a5e3be6b6bdd829f7419f1f67b807f5783e67
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$24.90
Total PnL
$1.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$5.00
$0.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$5.00
$0.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$5.00
$0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$4.98
$0.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
5 shares @ 57.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$4.93
$2.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$4.15Mar 6, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$2.75Mar 6, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$2.90Mar 6, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$4.80Mar 6, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$4.80Mar 6, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$4.20Mar 6, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.05Mar 4, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$15.07Mar 4, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$4.71Feb 22, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$4.80Feb 22, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.02Feb 22, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$4.90Feb 22, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$4.90Feb 22, 18:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 20, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$9.10Feb 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.12Feb 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.63Feb 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$14.00Feb 19, 18:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 18, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".