Vain-Gingerbread
0x571d10a043da59bd87bafa7104a1d6e07801d126
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$32.95
Total PnL
$29.21
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?
28 shares @ 2.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$28.15
$27.39
- NO
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$4.80
$4.56
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration?
32 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
21 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
20 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
17 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?
15 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Nikki Haley be a member of the Trump administration?
11 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 76-78m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- NO
Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?
2 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration? $1.02Jan 18, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?$0.00Jan 10, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?$0.00Jan 10, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris get 76-78m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 10, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?$0.00Jan 10, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jan 10, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.00Jan 10, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley be a member of the Trump administration?$0.31Dec 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?$0.20Dec 8, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?$0.28Dec 4, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.24Dec 1, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.38Nov 29, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?$0.82Nov 28, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.67Nov 28, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? $0.76Nov 28, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?$0.10Nov 25, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYElise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?$0.24Nov 25, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.21Nov 25, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?$0.37Nov 24, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?$0.19Nov 23, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $0.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".