Candid-Chaos
0x571dba2e394f278d27d0dbb353ad057e727bcfbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-132.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?
113 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 17?
111 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
110 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.59
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 17?
106 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?
98 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?
87 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.33
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 12?
86 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down on April 28?
78 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 16?
67 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12?$67.39Jul 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12?$0.19Jul 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12?$65.52Jul 11, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$81.00May 29, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$0.09May 25, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 26?$79.13May 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$2.97May 25, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$2.91May 22, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$73.82May 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 17?$71.90May 16, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,950 Week of April 13 2026?$18.06May 16, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13?$71.14May 10, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 28?$3.49Apr 28, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 12?$0.00Apr 28, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 12?$0.00Apr 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,950 Week of April 13 2026?$16.29Apr 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13?$69.57Apr 13, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 28?$77.68Apr 11, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 17?$0.00Apr 1, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 17?$0.00Mar 30, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $36.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.