Hidden-Convention
0x5724104527eea45cfe044d834b52b16d5e5756ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-636.18
Realised
$-39.79
Win rate
8%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 23?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on July 23?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on July 23?
91 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 39°C or higher on July 21?
85 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on July 21?
85 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 20?
67 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 21?
64 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 21?
64 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on July 21?
64 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.16Jul 31, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - July 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.27Jul 31, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.17Jul 31, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$9.43Jul 31, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.16Jul 31, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00Jul 31, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - July 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.09Jul 31, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$5.16Jul 31, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$11.36Jul 31, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.20Jul 31, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$9.43Jul 31, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.16Jul 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$5.17Jul 31, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$10.00Jul 31, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$5.17Jul 31, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.18Jul 31, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.17Jul 31, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Jul 31, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Jul 31, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$6.51Jul 31, 10:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.