Alive-Processing
0x5728b2478e54f6df31f38034216fdfd58e66d2b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
88
Open notional
$13.73
Total PnL
$-248.71
Realised
$-0.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.14
$3.14
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
16 shares @ 31.8¢·now 22.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.46
$-1.54
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?
2200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 10?
204 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 23?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on May 29?
132 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 24?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.06Jul 19, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?$20.46Jul 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 13, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?$5.08Jul 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?$10.11Jul 13, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 10?$14.99Jul 11, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?$8.33Jul 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 10?$1.03Jul 10, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 10?$2.07Jul 10, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 10?$1.05Jul 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 10?$2.07Jul 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?$1.04Jul 10, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?$1.05Jul 10, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?$4.12Jul 10, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 11?$5.14Jul 10, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 10?$5.17Jul 10, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?$5.16Jul 10, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$12.08Jul 9, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?$1.72Jul 9, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 05:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.