Carefree-Max
0x572b597a6fc545d6cbbe0e66a13d5d45db8de759
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.79
Total PnL
$-12.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- BRAVES
Braves vs. Mets
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?
186 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Chelsea wins the Premier League?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBraves vs. Mets$1.00Jun 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNationals vs. Padres$1.00Jun 23, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCubs vs. Cardinals$1.00Jun 23, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?$1.00Jan 8, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$1.00Jan 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea wins the Premier League?$1.00Jan 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?$1.00Jan 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?$1.00Jan 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.00Jan 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$1.00Jan 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Julian Assange?$1.00Jan 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Jan 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 8, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NDA win less than 300 seats?$8.33Jan 8, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer Leverkusen win the Europa League?$1.00May 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NDA win less than 300 seats?$2.00May 21, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".