Murky-Crayon
0x574125fd65fc6a5605e37285fbd4ba02c3b7fb99
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-44.8K
Realised
$16.26
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5110 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$740.95
$229.95
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
470 shares @ 23.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$470.43
$359.43
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
628 shares @ 53.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.44
$-34.56
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2379 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$272.35
$-60.65
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
3950 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.42
$-18.58
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4889 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$100.22
$12.23
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
543 shares @ 24.5¢·now 16.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$88.21
$-44.79
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
1172 shares @ 18.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.16
$-145.84
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
403 shares @ 33.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$70.53
$-62.47
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
16621 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".