Variable-Paper
0x57441fd0ae8904bfbe9e1587916c90a48601ab93
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$4.24
Total PnL
$-296.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- SCOTLAND
Spread: Haiti (-2.5)
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.24
$-0.01
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
75 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-37.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
62 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-31.01
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
49 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-24.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
44 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
33 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-16.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
31 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-15.55
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
29 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-14.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Haiti (-2.5)$4.25Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chainlink reach $20 in March?$111.89May 2, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink reach $20 in March?$111.78Mar 28, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$111.78Mar 28, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$111.67Mar 13, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?$241.68Mar 13, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?$240.95Feb 9, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$168.00Feb 9, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$84.00Feb 7, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMOver $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?$156.94Feb 7, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?$156.63Feb 2, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$70.00Feb 2, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$35.00Jan 22, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$31.50Jan 9, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$74.00Jan 9, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$37.00Dec 21, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$41.00Dec 21, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$20.50Dec 16, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.00Dec 12, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Dec 12, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $34.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.