Bite-Sized-Doctorate
0x574f84281e81f4a385099d47eaeaf38c8ecafab8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.75
Total PnL
$-0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- REPUBLICAN
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$5.77
$2.77
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2023$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Binance.US shut down by April 30?$1.00Mar 28, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?$1.00Mar 28, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$1.00Mar 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$1.83Mar 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus?$1.51Mar 28, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023?$1.00Mar 28, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$1.00Mar 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Mar 28, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30?$1.00Mar 28, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.00Mar 28, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?$2.00Mar 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus?$2.00Mar 28, 21:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".