Failing-Negotiation
0x575192398542b4e44d55c656fabb4686bed03365
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.26Dec 18, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.00Mar 13, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$0.00Mar 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$7.78Feb 3, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$10.00Feb 3, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$10.00Feb 3, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$74.89Jan 13, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Chess Championship 2024 Winner$0.00Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Kittle be the top Fantasy Tight End?$0.00Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$0.00Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?$0.00Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "deport" in his next speech?$0.00Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2024 be better than 2023?$0.26Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$0.27Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$0.35Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West$0.54Jan 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$63.45Dec 25, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.12Dec 23, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNext Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?$0.09Dec 23, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar leave Al-Hilal?$0.08Dec 23, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 20:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.