Busy-Letter
0x57529c1f3745a5aeee9c189a97fbd2b919a0b077
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-730.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
6571 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-459.99
- NO
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will "Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
143 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?
96 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-70.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$460.00Feb 7, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$100.00Sep 18, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$100.00Sep 18, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$700.39Sep 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$589.80Sep 9, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$589.80Sep 9, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$514.46Aug 27, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$514.46Aug 27, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$451.91Aug 7, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$451.91Aug 7, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$345.50Jul 26, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,500 on January 10?$70.90Jan 5, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$70.91Jan 5, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?$0.00Nov 8, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill George W. Bush endorse Kamala Harris?$0.00Nov 8, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.00Sep 20, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$0.00Sep 20, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$0.00Sep 20, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMPavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?$0.00Sep 20, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?$0.00Sep 14, 02:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $215.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".