Powerless-Flung
0x5754844d917331ec1f83a23a22ae4581d6b97b6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$22.83
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-5.06
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.90
$6.90
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.63
$1.63
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.03
$-0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2192 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- ASYLZHAN ARYSTANBEKOVA
ITF Kayseri: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Deniz Dilek
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Femasys (FEMY) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYITF Kayseri: Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Deniz Dilek$4.07May 29, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$4.05May 29, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?$5.20May 29, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$5.00May 29, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$2.91May 29, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 13?$3.16May 29, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$3.52May 29, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$14.22Nov 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Femasys (FEMY) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Nov 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$19.00Nov 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$2.30Nov 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$3.50Nov 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$3.00Nov 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.1KNov 13, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $105.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 07:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.