0x575c463fd43e0af55218ef8e190f03140ca6544b
0x575c463fd43e0af55218ef8e190f03140ca6544b
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$3.34
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 30?
1880 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
1085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on July 1?
627 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
539 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 30?
470 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
398 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-67.59
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
360 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$29.69Aug 7, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$9.98Aug 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$10.89Aug 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.95Aug 7, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$9.89Aug 7, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.09Aug 7, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$8.91Aug 7, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$9.51Aug 7, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$8.90Aug 7, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$8.21Aug 7, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.93Aug 7, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$13.42Aug 7, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$13.42Aug 7, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$9.89Aug 7, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$10.88Aug 7, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$10.92Aug 7, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$9.90Aug 7, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$10.45Aug 7, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$6.93Aug 7, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$37.39Aug 7, 05:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 16:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.