Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

199

Open notional

$0.12

Total PnL

$-566.76

Realised

$6.65

Win rate

56%

34 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 199

YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 1.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$0.12
$0.01
NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12AM ET
377 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026
$0.00
$-5.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
200 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026
$0.00
$-192.38
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4AM ET
177 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-2.11
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10PM ET
175 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-1.52
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12AM ET
165 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-3.00
NO
Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
105 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026
$0.00
$-0.15
NO
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026
$0.00
$-0.10
NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026
$0.00
$-0.10

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.10Apr 6, 18:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.03Apr 1, 10:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.22Apr 1, 10:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$4.00Mar 30, 05:49 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$4.24Mar 30, 05:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$4.00Mar 30, 05:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 05:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$4.16Mar 30, 05:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$4.00Mar 30, 05:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$3.09Mar 30, 05:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$3.00Mar 30, 04:43 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.50Mar 30, 04:41 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$4.04Mar 30, 04:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 04:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$4.00Mar 30, 04:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$4.08Mar 30, 04:33 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity31 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry12 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk50 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 17
Avg trade size: $2.86
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 29, 16:44 UTC
Last active: Apr 6, 18:04 UTC
Win rate sample: 34 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 03:34:16 UTC·src:Polymarket Data