0x5769b2693ea1a9c4460694574570b8799c10862f
0x5769b2693ea1a9c4460694574570b8799c10862f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.10
Total PnL
$6.50
Realised
$-0.41
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.10
$9.10
- YES
Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 PGA Championship?
9 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
7 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5$0.85May 18, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5$1.01May 18, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.39May 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 17, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 17, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.11May 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$1.00May 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$0.99May 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$1.00May 17, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $0.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 23:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.