Parched-Cut
0x576d6ed1138cb85cdfb1fdbf07efbbd922e13c2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.72
Total PnL
$-23.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$4.49
$1.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$2.23
$0.98
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
14 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.17
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
13 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9 at 5PM ET?
8 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.45
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.73
- NO
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.88
- NO
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?$3.36Jul 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?$1.25Jul 17, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$2.73Jul 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9 at 5PM ET?$4.45Jul 9, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?$2.88Jul 4, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.56Jul 4, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.17Jul 4, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$4.26Jun 26, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$3.28Jun 10, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$0.00May 29, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 29, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$2.77May 29, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?$20.20May 29, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?$13.33May 12, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$9.30May 12, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$22.49May 11, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win by 0–6%?$3.32May 6, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$2.46May 4, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$16.42May 4, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$2.00Apr 30, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.