Knotty-Gesture
0x5782544b5f3fb59e306bd210f132d464d057fc36
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$98.43
Total PnL
$-18.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup?
98 shares @ 30.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2021$98.43
$68.43
- YES
Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics?
159 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2021$0.00
$-51.05
- NO
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?
97 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$0.00
$-36.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.5 ppm on July 22, 2021?$81.05Jul 29, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEM(Live Trading) Will England or Italy win the Euro 2020 final?$0.00Jul 16, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the Euro 2020?$0.00Jul 16, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the Euro 2020?$0.00Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid?$0.00Jul 3, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden or Ukraine qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals?$0.00Jun 29, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17?$13.00Jun 21, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021?$0.00Jun 18, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021?$0.00Jun 12, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15?$12.48Jun 12, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".