Hateful-Cupcake
0x57839973103f73899ccdacbd2edd41a853dbea00
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-141.05
Realised
$3.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
22635 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-114.99
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
72 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
65 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Epstein" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.07Nov 4, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$9.00Nov 4, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$8.93Nov 4, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.00Nov 4, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called in 2025?$1.06Nov 4, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.14Nov 4, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.00Oct 1, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.00Oct 1, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$1.02Oct 1, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$6.00Sep 26, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$1.23Sep 26, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$2.79Sep 26, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.00Sep 26, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex West Bank territory in 2025?$1.27Sep 26, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Yemen by September 30?$2.09Sep 26, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$2.00Sep 24, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI social app in 2025?$1.00Sep 23, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 30?$1.00Sep 23, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "107 Days" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?$1.09Sep 23, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 23:39 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.