0x578cc7c861e96ef129ab43b34bed849ba36dab8e
0x578cc7c861e96ef129ab43b34bed849ba36dab8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
167 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
160 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
123 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
123 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Luigi Mangione not extradited to New York by February?
14 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione not extradited to New York by February?$0.53Dec 17, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.25Dec 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.16Dec 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.22Dec 3, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?$0.06Dec 1, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.01Dec 1, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.12Dec 1, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.12Dec 1, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.11Dec 1, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.05Dec 1, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?$0.06Nov 30, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 29, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.22Nov 29, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.49Oct 6, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.27Sep 21, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.28Sep 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.17Aug 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.12Aug 23, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.28Aug 20, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.07Aug 16, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".