Impressionable-Cabana
0x5792dec06f1fba58effce0ec464daff921b67731
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$20.10
Total PnL
$-132.28
Realised
$12.94
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
248 shares @ 15.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.60
$-20.52
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
9 shares @ 17.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-0.11
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
959 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.28
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?
937 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.23
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
270 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.26
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
225 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.77
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
104 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$3.65May 7, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$2.62May 7, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$4.14May 7, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$10.75May 7, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$4.25Apr 11, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$2.45Mar 1, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$2.02Mar 1, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$0.04Mar 1, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?$2.20Jan 24, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?$1.53Jan 24, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 23, 2026?$1.26Jan 22, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 23, 2026?$0.18Jan 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.11Jan 22, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$4.11Jan 21, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 9.5m?$0.12Jan 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Game Hunters vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage$1.00Jan 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnicaja vs. Wuerzburg$1.00Jan 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: BoostGate Esports vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL Group B$1.00Jan 21, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?$5.59Jan 21, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$15.00Jan 21, 16:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.