Unkempt-Editing
0x579cdacc0a215901f062d80e2d0b0e79d34ba084
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.10
Total PnL
$-10.81
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
4 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.00
- YES
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?
2 shares @ 63.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
14 shares @ 7.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
- BC.GAME ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TEAM FALCONS
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- TEAM FALCONS
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs$1.02May 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?$1.01May 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$1.14May 16, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$2.00May 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$1.00May 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$4.00May 11, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$1.03May 11, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 11, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs$4.87Feb 21, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$4.87Feb 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$4.90Feb 19, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$0.00Feb 19, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs$4.00Feb 19, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.