Upbeat-Congressman
0x579d61d54611c9aee4ceac110101c7c0b65f247c
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$997.52
Total PnL
$10.01
Realised
$-43.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?
361 shares @ 89.8¢·now 89.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$322.00
$-1.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?
278 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$275.24
$2.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 23?
100 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$99.95
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?
100 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$99.40
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?
278 shares @ 23.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$84.94
$20.24
- YES
Will London have 80mm or more of precipitation in June?
76 shares @ 10.3¢·now 50.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.76
$30.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?
26 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$24.73
$-0.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
84 shares @ 15.7¢·now 21.3¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$17.85
$4.63
- NO
Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in June?
15 shares @ 90.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.56
$0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?
169 shares @ 4.1¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$11.86
$4.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?$0.44Jun 23, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?$0.55Jun 23, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?$0.88Jun 23, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?$0.18Jun 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?$5.47Jun 23, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?$6.36Jun 23, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?$73.83Jun 23, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?$49.25Jun 23, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?$26.76Jun 23, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?$2.85Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?$16.77Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?$19.82Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?$19.62Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?$19.82Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?$32.70Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?$34.34Jun 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?$1.76Jun 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?$0.74Jun 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?$4.48Jun 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?$16.04Jun 23, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.