Conscious-Lox
0x57a50b61ff9e0bd4608f5591936eda870a620dbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.68
Total PnL
$-466.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-4.33
- YES
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 54% and 56%?
700 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win fewer than 250 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
402 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- AUSTRALIA
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea
212 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
108 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
83 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
52 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill USA win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$0.00Mar 12, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$70.00Mar 8, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea$70.00Mar 8, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$0.00Mar 8, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$98.30Mar 8, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$13.75Mar 8, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$0.00Mar 8, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei$20.00Mar 8, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$48.19Mar 8, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea$40.00Mar 7, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$43.01Mar 7, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$40.00Mar 6, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$40.00Mar 6, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$30.00Mar 5, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 5, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei$39.96Mar 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei$0.49Mar 5, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei$36.00Mar 5, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei$1.22Mar 5, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFirst Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipei$30.66Mar 5, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $23.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".