True-Substitution
0x57a880ac255e4210aaeb6168b70a1829506d1e10
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.03
Total PnL
$-3.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.80 on October 24?
3 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$3.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sebastian Korda win Wimbledon 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.80 on October 24?$3.00Oct 22, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?$1.00Oct 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by September 30?$5.01Oct 22, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taylor Swift" during September?$5.01Oct 22, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?$5.26Oct 22, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taylor Swift" during September?$5.00Sep 30, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by September 30?$5.00Sep 30, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?$5.00Sep 30, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? $30.03Sep 30, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? $30.00Aug 31, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on July 31?$10.01Aug 31, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$10.20Aug 31, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum close above $4000 on July 31?$11.04Aug 31, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum close above $4000 on July 31?$11.00Jul 31, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on July 31?$10.00Jul 31, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$10.00Jul 31, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? $1.00Jul 31, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140K in July?$1.00Jul 31, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?$30.21Jul 31, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?$30.00Jun 25, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $9.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 22, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".