Polished-Construction
0x57aed42bad74fa7194ce6d2667b94afe17a53b7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$203.73
Total PnL
$-497.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 3?
66 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$63.49
$-1.25
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 2?
51 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$50.27
$0.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on June 4?
51 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$46.80
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?
47 shares @ 96.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$43.18
$-1.88
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
304 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-197.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 27?
161 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-143.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?
146 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-71.54
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
101 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 27?
50 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-24.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?$45.14Jun 3, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 2?$45.13Jun 3, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on June 4?$47.21Jun 3, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 2?$47.24Jun 3, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 2?$49.56Jun 3, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 3?$32.37Jun 3, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 3?$32.37Jun 3, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 2?$58.08Jun 2, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 2?$56.22Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 2?$45.94Jun 2, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 2?$51.93Jun 2, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 2?$56.53Jun 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 1?$30.98Jun 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?$64.20Jun 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 2?$5.95Jun 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 2?$7.03Jun 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 2?$11.40Jun 1, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 2?$19.43Jun 1, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?$102.97Jun 1, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?$11.22Jun 1, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $35.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".