Valid-Stance
0x57b10a4d282280ecdbb901ee600ae51a5f6091f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$55.16
Total PnL
$-32.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
36 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$36.23
$11.23
- YES
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$13.33
$11.33
- YES
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-2.75
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
21 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$7.50Apr 9, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Mar 26, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Mar 26, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Mar 26, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$1.00Mar 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.00Mar 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$1.00Mar 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1.00Mar 26, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1.00Mar 26, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.00Mar 26, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$10.00Mar 26, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$20.00Mar 26, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test/launch by March 31?$2.20Mar 11, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?$0.00Mar 11, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?$2.33Mar 11, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1.30Mar 11, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.72Feb 3, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$2.00Feb 3, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?$1.00Jan 24, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?$3.00Jan 24, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.