Mixed-Tragedy
0x57b115d26cf20824ac396e31269fedd337b7775f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.3K
Realised
$-533.01
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
13709 shares @ 91.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.5K
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?
9000 shares @ 81.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.3K
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?
7792 shares @ 80.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.3K
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in October?
5011 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.7K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1397 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1149 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-178.82
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-115.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on December 27?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
908 shares @ 78.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-710.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
509 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-281.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$82.18Feb 19, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$1.6KFeb 3, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$10.07Feb 3, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$11.66Feb 3, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$12.72Feb 3, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$13.25Feb 3, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$22.55Feb 3, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$27.03Feb 3, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$6.36Feb 3, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$845.35Feb 1, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$9.00Feb 1, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$90.00Feb 1, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$9.00Feb 1, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$1.3KFeb 1, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$45.00Feb 1, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$9.00Feb 1, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$9.00Feb 1, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$180.00Feb 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$45.00Feb 1, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$111.44Feb 1, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $415.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.