Webbed-Bedrock
0x57bd5eaf5e131e19ace1854f2bf7059150c6a32b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$66.27
Total PnL
$-5.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- USA
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexico
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
2 shares @ 63.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.54
$0.56
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
1 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$1.00Mar 10, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?$1.00Mar 10, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in March?$1.00Mar 10, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $200 in March?$1.00Mar 10, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in March?$1.00Mar 10, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$10.00Mar 10, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 10, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 10, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 10, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 10, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 10, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexico$10.00Mar 10, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$1.00Mar 10, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 12?$1.00Mar 10, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 11?$1.00Mar 10, 01:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $110.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.