Arid-Appearance
0x57bed01bd4f4f02ad822e7d5415dfe2ff820b73c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.6K
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
69%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
1600 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-783.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
1400 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-365.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
1359 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-611.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
1194 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-537.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
1070 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-500.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
1020 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-262.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
1000 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-401.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
1000 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-479.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
1000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-469.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-449.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.77Jul 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.62Jul 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$25.00Jul 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.99Jul 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$2.51Jul 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$7.20Jul 20, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$15.53Jul 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.12Jul 20, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.80Jul 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.04Jul 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.96Jul 20, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$20.00Jul 20, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$6.25Jul 20, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$2.75Jul 20, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$30.00Jul 20, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$13.80Jul 20, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.55Jul 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.25Jul 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$13.50Jul 20, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$1.99Jul 19, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
88/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
69% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
36 closed markets, 69% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 06:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.